A Four-Faction Heuristic "WXYZ" Model for Exploring U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Politics
Dr. Christopher Ford • April 7, 2022
On March 31, 2022, Hoover Institution Press published Dr. Ford's essay "A Four-Faction Heuristic 'WXYZ' Model for Exploring U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Politics" in its essay series.
In this paper, Dr. Ford offers a model to help explain US arms control policy and politics over the last two decades. In this framing, policy decisions are the result of contestation, bargaining, and coalition dynamics between four “WXYZ” factions within the policy community, ranging from dovish “Ws” to hawkish “Zs.” This schema can illuminate major US arms control policy debates and decisions over the last generation. You can find the essay on Hoover's website here, or use the button below to download a PDF.
The year 2025 is ageing fast, and the end of the year is now just around the corner. So here’s a compilation of my public work product from the year. As you can see from the list of 10 papers or articles and 26 presentations below, it’s been a busy one. Keep checking New Paradigms Forum for new material as we move into 2026. And Happy New Year, everyone!
Below is the text of the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks to a reunion at DACOR Bacon House , in Washington, D.C., of former U.S. Government officials involved with negotiating and implementing the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty of 1987.
Below is the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his shorter oral remarks on December 7, 2025, at the Doha Forum, on a panel on “Mediating in an Era of Nuclear Risks and Superpower Rivalry” organized by the Qatar Mediation Forum. Dr. Ford was joined on the panel by Dmitri Suslov and Wu Chunsi, and the discussion was moderated by Ambassador Karim Haggag, director of the Stockholm Peace Research Institute.
Below is the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his shorter oral remarks to the U.S-China Nuclear Workshop on November 19, 2025, convened by the Protect on Managing the Atom and the Council on Strategic Risks, held at the Belfer Center at Harvard University’s John F. Kennedy School of Government.
Below is the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his (much) shorter remarks on a panel on geopolitical risk on November 18, 2025, sponsored by Forward Global and the Oxford University Alumni Network.
Below is the text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks at a conference in China on November 8, 2025.
Below is the text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks to the Labs Nuclear Scholars Initiative at CSIS on October 20, 2025.
In October 2025, the Next Generation Nuclear Network at the Center for Strategic and International Studies released a long recorded interview with Dr. Ford as part of its Arms Control oral history project entitled “The Negotiator Files.” You can find Dr. Ford's interview here .
Below is the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks at an event at Hudson Institute on October 2, 2025, on the U.S. Institute of Peace Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability’s recent report on “ Sustaining the Nuclear Peace .”
Below is the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks at a briefing for Congressional staffers on September 30, 2025, organized by the University of Pennsylvania’s Washington Cente r and the Wilson Center .