Assessing the Biden Administration's "Big Four" National Security Guidance Documents

Dr. Christopher Ford • January 16, 2023

In January 2023, the National Institute for Public Policy published Dr. Ford's paper on assessing the Biden Administration's National Security Strategy (NSS), National Defense Strategy (NDS), Nuclear Posture Review (NPR), and Missile Defense Review (MDR).  You can find this paper on NIPP's website here, or use the button below to download a copy.



From the Executive Summary:


“...[O]ne of the most striking things about these new documents is the degree to which the Biden administration now seems to admit that the ‘hawks’ in the U.S. national security policy community read the strategic environment right after all. This is especially the case where it comes to calling out nuclear weapons threats from great power challengers that make further disarmament progress impossible without dramatic changes in strategic policy by those challengers. ...


“The Biden Administration’s acknowledgment of the dramatically worsening strategic environment, moreover,repudiates much of President Obama’s (and Biden’s own prior) disarmament agenda. The Biden NPR also makes clear that no one should expect further disarmament progress anytime soon, and also that the United States has lost patience with trying to ‘lead’ a world so obviously unwilling to follow it toward such disarmament. If there is to be a chance for resuming post-Cold War progress disarmament, the Biden documents make clear, the burden now lies on China and Russia to turn things around by stopping their escalatory provocations.”

DOWNLOAD Biden "Big Four" Paper
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Below is the text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks at a conference in China on November 8, 2025.
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Below is the text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks to the Labs Nuclear Scholars Initiative at CSIS on October 20, 2025.
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In October 2025, the Next Generation Nuclear Network at the Center for Strategic and International Studies released a long recorded interview with Dr. Ford as part of its Arms Control oral history project entitled “The Negotiator Files.” You can find Dr. Ford's interview here .
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Below is the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks at an event at Hudson Institute on October 2, 2025, on the U.S. Institute of Peace Senior Study Group on Strategic Stability’s recent report on “ Sustaining the Nuclear Peace .”
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Below is the prepared text upon which Dr. Ford based his remarks at a briefing for Congressional staffers on September 30, 2025, organized by the University of Pennsylvania’s Washington Cente r and the Wilson Center .